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Dec 13/14/15 and the Peak of the Geminids

December 15, 2009 Carl Hergenrother 1 comment

Sunday night marked the predicted peak of this year’s Geminid meteor shower. Observers from around the world submitted observations to the International Meteor Organization. These observations showed that a possible double peak was observed on Dec 13 at ~18 UT and on Dec 14 at ~1 UT. At its best the Geminids produced ~130 meteors per hour (assuming a dark site where stars as faint as magnitude 6.5 could be seen and the radiant was overhead). The measured peak rate may change with further analysis. If the ZHR of 130 per hour holds then this year’s Geminids were pretty much as strong as predicted. Some predictions called for the peak to occur on Dec 14 at 5 UT so the actual peak was a few hours early.

The 2 graphs below are from the International Meteor Organization. The first shows the hourly rate of Geminids for the past 11 nights. The 2nd focuses on the peak of activity.

Graph of Geminid ZHR rates as determined from data submitted to the IMO. Credit: International Meteor Organization
Graph of Geminid ZHR rates centered on the time of the peak. Credit: International Meteor Organization

Here in Tucson something other than meteors was falling from the sky. The clouds and rain kept me from observing. Still I left my 2 cameras on and they were able to detect 7 meteors between the clouds. This is the 2nd year in a row that the Geminids have been clouded out for Tucson. Not too far to the south of Tucson in Hermosillo, Salvador Aguirre had better luck. On the night of the peak he observed 33 Geminids. Even better was his tally for the night before the peak when he observed 260 Geminids including 21 Geminids seen in a single 15 minute span.

Last night the sky was clear once again though Geminid activity has greatly decreased from the night before. 2010 will be another great year for the Geminids. Though the Moon will be a problem until around midnight. After that the sky will be nice and dark.

From Bob’s note for the night of Dec 14/15 : “After a week of clouds and rain the sky finally cleared. There was still a thin layer of high clouds which seemed to affect the sporadic count more than any of the showers. At 11:51:20 UT (3:51:20 am PST) a Sigma Hydrid fireball estimated at magnitude -7 was captured in the northeastern sky passing just east of the Big Dipper.”

A -7 magnitude Sigma Hydrid from Bob Lunsford camera on Dec 15 @ 11:51:20 UT. Credit: Bob Lunsford

Obs  Date(UT)      Time    TOT SPO ANT GEM HYD MON PUP DAD DLM COM
TUS  2009-12-15   12h 07m   58  23  2   18  6   0   0   1   7   1
SDG  2009-12-15   12h 00m   71  33  6   16  5   2   0   0   7   2
TUS  2009-12-14   02h 17m   7   2   1   4   0   0   0   0   0   0

TUS - Camera in Tucson operated by Carl Hergenrother
SDG - Camera in San Diego operated by Bob Lunsford
TotTime - Total amount of time each camera looked for meteors
TOT - Total number of meteors detected
SPO - Sporadics (meteors not affiliated with any particular meteor shower)
ANT - Antihelions
GEM - Geminids
HYD - Sigma Hydrids
MON - Monocerotids
PUP - Puppids/Velids 
DAD - December Alpha Draconids
DLM - December Leonids Minorids
COM - Coma Berenicids

Meteor Activity Outlook for December 12-18, 2009

December 11, 2009 Carl Hergenrother 26 comments

The Meteor Activity Outlook is a weekly summary of expected meteor activity written by Robert Lunsford, Operations Manager of the American Meteor Society and contributor to this blog. The original unedited version of this week’s Meteor Activity Outlook can be found at the American Meteor Society’s site.

No matter where you live, the first half of December provides some of the best meteor activity of the year. In the northern hemisphere the sporadic rates are still strong plus you can also count on strong activity from the Geminids, which peak on December 13. There are also several minor radiants that add a few meteors each hour. All of these centers of activity are located high in the sky during the early morning hours this time of year. Unfortunately this year the bright moon spoils the show during the first week of the month. During the second week of December the moon will pass its last quarter phase and will not be such a nuisance .

As seen from the southern hemisphere the sporadic rates are increasing toward a January maximum. Shower rates are also good but the Geminids suffer a bit from the lower elevation seen from southern locations. Still with the warmer weather now occurring south of the equator, December is a great time to view celestial fireworks.

During this period the moon reaches its new phase on Wednesday December 16th. On that date the moon lies near the sun and cannot be seen at night. This weekend the waning crescent moon will rise during the late morning hours but will not cause any interference. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near five as seen from the northern hemisphere and three from the southern hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near forty from the northern hemisphere and twenty as seen from the southern hemisphere. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity.

The radiant positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning December 12/13. These positions do not change greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period.

The following showers are expected to be active this week.

Antihelions (ANT)

Now that the activity from particles produced by comet 2P/Encke has ceased encountering the Earth, the Taurid showers for 2009 are over and we resume reporting activity from the Antihelion radiant. This is not a true radiant but rather activity caused by the Earth’s motion through space. As the Earth revolves around the sun it encounters particles orbiting in a pro-grade motion that are approaching their perihelion point. They all appear to be radiating from an area near the opposition point of the sun, hence the name Antihelion. These were once recorded as separate showers throughout the year but it is now suggested to bin them into their category separate from true showers and sporadics. This radiant is a very large oval some thirty degrees wide by fifteen degrees high. Activity from this radiant can appear from more than one constellation. The position listed here is for the center of the radiant which is currently located at 06:16 (094) +23. This position lies in western Gemini near the fourth magnitude star Eta Geminorum. Antihelion activity may also appear from eastern Taurus, northeastern Orion, or southern Auriga. This radiant is best placed near 0100 local standard time (LST) when it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. Rates at this time should be ~3 per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and ~2 per hour from south of the equator. With an entry velocity of 30 km/sec., the average Antihelion meteor would be of slow speed.

Monocerotids (MON)

The Monocerotids (MON) are active from a radiant located at 06:52 (103) +07. This position lies in northwestern Monoceros halfway between the bright stars Betelgeuse (Alpha Orionis) and Procyon (Alpha Canis Minoris). This shower peaked on December 8, so activity is waning. Current rates would most likely average < 1 per hour no matter your location. The Monocerotids are best seen near 0100 LST when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. At 41 km/sec. the Monocerotids produce mostly meteors of medium velocity.

Geminids (GEM)

The Geminids (GEM) are active from a radiant located at 07:33 (113) +32. This position lies in northern Gemini near the fourth magnitude star Rho Geminorum. Although Geminid meteors can be seen all night long, they are best seen near 0200 LST when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. This shower is expected to peak Sunday and Monday December 13/14 when rates can surpass 60 shower members per hour as seen from dark sites. Geminid activity can be seen from the southern hemisphere but at at much reduced rate. As seen from south of the equator, Geminid activity could only be seen for a few hours before and after 0200 LST. At 35 km/sec. the Geminids produce mostly meteors of medium velocity.

Puppids-Velids (PUP)

The Puppid-Velids (PUP) are a vast complex of weak radiants located in the constellations of Puppis and Vela. Visual plots and photographic studies have revealed many radiants in this area during November and December. The combined strength of these radiants can produce a ZHR of 10. Actual hourly rates will be much less unless you happen to be observing from the deep Southern Hemisphere. The center of this activity is currently located at 08:26 (126) -45. This position lies in western Vela, five degrees northeast of the second magnitude star Gamma Velorum. Peak rates occurred near December 7 so current activity is waning. These meteors are best seen near 0300 LST when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. Observers located in the Southern Hemisphere have an advantage viewing this shower as the radiant will rise higher into their sky allowing more activity to be seen. At 40 km/sec. the Puppid-Velids produce meteors of medium velocity.

Sigma Hydrids (HYD)

The Sigma Hydrids (HYD) are active from a radiant located at 08:42 (130) +01. This position lies in western Hydra, just below the group of fourth magnitude stars that make up the “head” of the water serpent. These meteors are best seen near 0300 LST when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. Current rates would be ~1 per hour no matter your location. At 61 km/sec. the Sigma Hydrids produce mostly swift meteors.

December Leonis Minorids (DLM)

The December Leonis Minorids (DLM) are active from a radiant located at 10:22 (155) +34. This position lies in central Leo Minor, approximately ten degrees north of the third magnitude star Zeta Leonis. These meteors are best seen near 0500 LST when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. This shower peaks on December 20th so current rates would be ~1 per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and < 1 per hour as seen from south of the equator. At 64 km/sec. the December Leonis Minorids produce mostly swift meteors.

Coma Berenicids (COM)

Activity from the Coma Berenicids (COM) has just begun for 2009. The radiant is located at 11:30 (173) +18. This position actually lies in eastern Leo, five degrees northwest of the second magnitude star Denebola (Beta Leonis). These meteors are best seen near 0600 LST when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. This shower peaks on December 16th so current rates would be ~1 per hour no matter your location. At 65 km/sec. the Coma Berenicids produce mostly swift meteors.

December Alpha Draconids (DAD)

Lastly, the December Alpha Draconids (DAD) are active from a radiant located at 14:00 (210) +58. This position actually lies in northeastern Ursa Major, six degrees northeast of the second magnitude double star Mizar (Zeta Ursae Majoris). These meteors are best seen during the last dark hour before dawn, when the radiant lies highest above the horizon in a dark sky. This shower is near the end of its activity period so expected rates would be < 1 no matter your location. At 44 km/sec. the Alpha Draconids produce mostly medium speed meteors.

As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) one would expect to see ~16 Sporadic meteors per hour during the last hour before dawn as seen from rural observing sites. Evening rates would be ~3 per hour. As seen from the mid-southern hemisphere (45S), morning rates would be ~10 per hour as seen from rural observing sites and ~2 per hour during the evening hours. Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed figures.

The table below presents a condensed version of the expected activity this week. Rates and positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning but may be used all week long.

Shower Name                RA     DEC   Vel     Rates
                                        km/s   NH    SH
ANT Antihelions          06h 16m  +23    30     3     2
MON Monocerotids         06h 52m  +07    41    <1    <1
GEM Geminids             07h 33m  +32    35    60    20
PUP Puppids-Velids       08h 26m  -45    40    <1     2
HYD Sigma Hydrids        08h 42m  +01    61     1     1
DLE Dec Leonis Minorids  10h 22m  +34    64     1    <1
COM Coma Berenicids      11h 30m  +18    65     1     1
DAD Dec Alpha Draconids  14h 00m  +58    44    <1    <1

RA - Right Ascension
DEC - Declination
Vel - Velocity relative to Earth (in km per sec)
Rates - Rate of visible meteors per hour from a
        dark site
NH - Northern Hemisphere
SH - Southern Hemisphere

Meteor Activity Outlook for December 5-11, 2009

December 3, 2009 Carl Hergenrother 3 comments

The Meteor Activity Outlook is a weekly summary of expected meteor activity written by Robert Lunsford, Operations Manager of the American Meteor Society and contributor to this blog. The original unedited version of this week’s Meteor Activity Outlook can be found at the American Meteor Society’s site.

No matter where you live, the first half of December provides some of the best meteor activity of the year. In the northern hemisphere the sporadic rates are still strong plus you can also count on strong activity from the Geminids, which peak on December 13. There are also several minor radiants that add a few meteors each hour. All of these centers of activity are located high in the sky during the early morning hours this time of year. Unfortunately this year the bright moon spoils the show during the first week of the month. During the second week of December the moon will pass its last quarter phase and will not be such a nuisance .

As seen from the southern hemisphere the sporadic rates are increasing toward a January maximum. Shower rates are also good but the  Geminids suffer a bit from the lower elevation seen from southern locations. Still with the warmer weather now occurring south of the equator, December is a great time to view celestial fireworks.

During this period the moon reaches its last quarter phase on Wednesday December 9th. On that date the moon lies ninety degrees west of the sun and rises near midnight local standard time (LST). This weekend the waning gibbous moon will rise during the evening hours and remain in the sky the remainder of the night. The bright glare from the gibbous moon will make it difficult to view any meteor activity. Once the moon passes its last quarter phase the moonlight becomes less of a problem. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near three as seen from the northern hemisphere and two from the southern hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near ten from the northern hemisphere and seven as seen from the southern hemisphere. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as
personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. Morning rates are reduced during this period due to moonlight.

The radiant positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning December 5/6. These positions do not change greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period.

The following showers are expected to be active this week. The full descriptions of each active meteor shower will continue next week when
the moon becomes less of a nuisance to observers.

The table below presents a condensed version of the expected activity this week. Rates and positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning but may be used all week long.

Shower Name                RA     DEC   Vel     Rates
                                        km/s   NH    SH
PHO Phoenicids           01h 12m  -53    18    <1    <1
NTA Northern Taurids     05h 16m  +26    29     2     1
MON Monocerotids         06h 32m  +08    41    <1    <1
GEM Geminids             07h 10m  +33    35     2    <1
PUP Puppids-Velids       08h 10m  -45    40    <1    <1
HYD Sigma Hydrids        08h 16m  +03    61    <1    <1
PSU Psi Ursae Majorids   11h 19m  +43    61    <1    <1
DAD Alpha Draconids      13h 34m  +60    44    <1    <1

RA - Right Ascension
DEC - Declination
Vel - Velocity relative to Earth (in km per sec)
Rates - Rate of visible meteors per hour from a
        dark site
NH - Northern Hemisphere
SH - Southern Hemisphere

Nov 27/28 to Dec 1/2 Meteors

The past fews days have seen a combination of bad weather and/or hardware problems, hence the low number of postings the past few days. The storm that shut down the Tucson and San Diego cameras right after Thanksgiving has moved out. Bob was able to get his cameras back on the sky 3 nights ago. One of my cameras is back online but my zenith pointing camera is suffering from some water in its lens. This was probably caused by condensation. Unfortunately this will require taking the lens apart (which is the easy part, putting it back together in a usable fashion is the big unknown) or buying a new lens. So it is possible my numbers will seem a bit low for the next few days. Hopefully I can get everything back up and running in time for the Geminids.

Bob’ notes for the night of Nov 30/Dec 1 : “It was clear the entire night. The full moon severely reduced the number of meteors recorded tonight.”

… for the night of Nov 29/30 : “After two nights of clouds and rain the skies have cleared again. The bright moon affected observations until 10 UT (2am PST). The Sigma Hydrids were the most active shower tonight producing 5 meteors.”

Obs  Date(UT)      Time    TOT SPO ANT NTA LEO NOO AND HYD PSU PHO PUP
TUS  2009-12-02   11h46m    8   1   2   -   -   1   -   2   1   0   0
TUS  2009-12-01   07h45m    13  7   1   -   -   1   -   2   0   0   2
SDG  2009-12-01   11h56m    31  22  -   3   -   3   -   3   0   0   0
SDG  2009-11-30   11h16m    59  42  -   4   4   3   0   5   1   -   -

TUS – Camera in Tucson operated by Carl Hergenrother
SDG – Camera in San Diego operated by Bob Lunsford
TotTime – Total amount of time each camera looked for meteors
TOT – Total number of meteors detected
SPO – Sporadics (meteors not affiliated with any particular meteor shower)
NTA – Northern Taurids (includes Antihelions)
LEO – Leonids
NOO – November Orionids
AND – Andromedids
HYD – Sigma Hydrids
PSU – Psi Ursae Majorids
PHO – December Phoenicids
PUP – Puppids/Velids

Categories: Meteors Tags: , ,

Dec 10/11 Meteors

High clouds and cirrus are starting to move back into the US Southwest in front of our next winter storm. The clouds were a problem all night in San Diego. Here in Tucson, the clouds only moved in at the very end of the night. Unfortunately, the forecast isn’t good for the Geminid maximum in southern CA or AZ.

From Bob Lunsford’s notes: “High clouds interfered with video observations last night. Only a small fraction of the activity seen on the 10th was recorded tonight. Unfortunately the weather forecast is not looking good. Lower clouds are expected to form tonight with mostly cloudy skies are expected right through the Geminid maximum.”

The Geminid rates continue to build as we approach its maximum this weekend. The Sigma Hydrids also continue to produce a consistent drizzle of activity.

Obs  Date (UT)   TotTime TOT SPO ANT GEM MON PUP HYD
TUS  2008-12-11  12h 02m  44  19  5   17  0   0   3
SDG  2008-12-11  11h 52m  38  18  2   14  1   0   3

TUS – Camera in Tucson operated by Carl Hergenrother
SDG – Camera in San Diego operated by Bob Lunsford
TotTime – Total amount of time each camera looked for meteors
TOT – Total number of meteors detected
SPO – Sporadics (meteors not affiliated with any particular meteor shower)
ANT – Antihelions
GEM – Geminids
MON – December Monocerotids
PUP - Puppids/Velids Complex
HYD - Sigma (σ-) Hydrids

Dec 6/7 Meteors

Clouds were again an issue for the first couple of hours of the night. With a storm forecast to move through AZ,  tonight and tomorrow night may not be as productive.

The Sigma Hydrids (HYD) continue to put on a nice show with 5 of last night’s 34 meteors (15%) being from that shower. Though the there is video evidence that the Geminids (GEM) started a few weeks ago, last night marked the 1st night that the software I use was specifically looking for Geminids. (Any Geminids seen on previous nights would be flagged as Sporadics (SPO). When the data is analyzed in greater detail, the early Geminids will be identified.) A single Geminid was seen last night. By the end of next week, we will be seeing many more Geminids.

Obs  Date (UT)   TotTime TOT SPO ANT GEM MON PHO PUP HYD
TUS  2008-12-07  08h 45m  34  25  0   1   1   0   2   5

TUS – Camera in Tucson operated by Carl Hergenrother
SDG – Camera in San Diego operated by Bob Lunsford
TotTime – Total amount of time each camera looked for meteors
TOT – Total number of meteors detected
SPO – Sporadics (meteors not affiliated with any particular meteor shower)
ANT – Antihelions
GEM – Geminids
MON – December Monocerotids
PHO – December Phoenicids
PUP - Puppids/Velids Complex
HYD - SIgma (σ-) Hydrids

Dec 3/4 Meteors and a few Sigma Hydrids

Some cirrus rolled in at the end of the night, but not enough to keep the Tucson camera from detecting 28 meteors. Amazingly 4 of them were from the minor Sigma Hydrid (HYD) shower. According to Sirko Molau’s analysis of video meteor data, the Sigma Hydrids have a broad peak covering the nights of Dec 3-13. Perhaps the 6 Sigma Hydrids picked up over the past 2 nights are a hint of more activity to come.

Obs  Date (UT)   TotTime TOT SPO ANT MON PHO PUP HYD
TUS  2008-12-04  12h 03m  28  22  1   1   0   0   4

TUS – Camera in Tucson operated by Carl Hergenrother
SDG – Camera in San Diego operated by Bob Lunsford
TotTime – Total amount of time each camera looked for meteors
TOT – Total number of meteors detected
SPO – Sporadics (meteors not affiliated with any particular meteor shower)
ANT – Antihelions
MON – December Monocerotids
PHO – December Phoenicids
PUP - Puppids/Velids Complex
HYD - SIgma (σ-) Hydrids

Categories: Meteors Tags: , ,